Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MTCH analysis

Match Group, Inc.Internet Content & Information. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

MTCH
Match Group, Inc. · Internet Content & Information
FCF$1.0bC+
Rev+0.2%C
D/E
P/E14.6xB+
PEG0.34A
72.3Score
$39.32$9.2B
1Y Target$41.13Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$51.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$66.59Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.0bTTM
C+
FCF $1.0b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+0.2%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.2% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E14.6x
B+
P/E 14.6 — below the Communication Services median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.34
A
PEG 0.34 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72.3
Quality0.78
Growth0.57
Value0.86
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
1% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value33% belowest. fair value ~$59
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability59% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Internet Content & Information · market cap $9.2b. Trading near 52-week high of $39.78 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. PEG 0.34 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $41.13 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -1.2%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $41.13 (16-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $51.92 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $66.59 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
50
Position size
$1,966
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$29.49
25% below $39.32
$ at risk if stopped
$491.50
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH): score, valuation & FAQ

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) is a Internet Content & Information company that scores 72.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and P/E (B+). On valuation, MTCH sits about 33% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is MTCH a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MTCH 72.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Match Group, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MTCH score 72.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MTCH earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MTCH overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $39.32, MTCH sits about 33% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 14.6x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MTCH?

Currently unprofitable (margin -1.2%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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