Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

NFLX analysis

Netflix, Inc.Entertainment. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

NFLX
Netflix, Inc. · Entertainment
FCF$11.9bA-
Rev+15.9%B+
D/E0.54B
P/E24.3xB
PEG1.49B
77.6Score
$75.47$317.8B
1Y Target$113.71Analyst consensus · 44 analysts
5Y Target$166.49Compound horizon
10Y Target$246.97Long-dated conviction
FCF$11.9bTTM
A-
FCF $11.9b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector
Rev+15.9%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +15.9% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.54
B
D/E 0.54 — near the Communication Services debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E24.3x
B
P/E 24.3 — near the Communication Services median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.49
B
PEG 1.49 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 77.6
Quality0.93
Growth0.91
Value0.55
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
41% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value135% aboveest. fair value ~$32
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability38% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC24.2% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Entertainment · market cap $317.8b. Down 41% from 52-week high of $128.96 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +16%, comfortably above the S&P median. 44 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $113.71 (implying +51% upside).
Moat
Net margin 29% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 43% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $317.8b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
Down 41% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.52 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $113.71 (44-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $166.49 at ~17% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $246.97 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+0.9 over 14 daily scores
From 76.7 (Jun 22) → 77.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
26
Position size
$1,962
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$56.60
25% below $75.47
$ at risk if stopped
$490.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): score, valuation & FAQ

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is a Entertainment company that scores 77.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A-) and Rev (B+). On valuation, NFLX sits about 135% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is NFLX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores NFLX 77.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by FCF (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Netflix, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does NFLX score 77.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). NFLX earns its highest marks on FCF (A-) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is NFLX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $75.47, NFLX sits about 135% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 24.3x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in NFLX?

Down 41% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.52 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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