Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MNSO analysis

MINISO Group Holding LtdRetail. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

MNSO
MINISO Group Holding Ltd · Retail
FCF
Rev+26.2%A-
D/E1.02C+
P/E23.7xB
PEG0.91B+
78Score
$13.53
1Y Target$15.56Near-term target
5Y Target$21.79Compound horizon
10Y Target$32.03Long-dated conviction
FCFTTM
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+26.2%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +26.2% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E1.02
C+
D/E 1.02 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage
P/E23.7x
B
P/E 23.7 — moderate premium, defensible with growth
PEG0.91proxy
B+
PEG 0.91 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Retail · market cap $33.0b. Down 74% from 52-week high of $51.95 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +26% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.91 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 74% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $15.56 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $21.79 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $32.03 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
147
Position size
$1,989
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$10.15
25% below $13.53
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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