Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MNSO analysis

MINISO Group Holding LimitedSpecialty Retail. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

MNSO
MINISO Group Holding Limited · Specialty Retail
FCF
Rev+26.2%A-
D/E1.04B
P/E12.5xA-
PEG0.45A
72Score
$11.84$3.5B
1Y Target$19.90Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$29.13Compound horizon
10Y Target$43.22Long-dated conviction
FCF
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+26.2%FY YoY
A-
Revenue +26.2% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.04
B
D/E 1.04 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E12.5x
A-
P/E 12.5 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.45proxy
A
PEG 0.45 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.80
Growth1.00
Value0.90
Why this score
  • Short track record
  • Foreign reporter (CNY)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
56% off the 12-month high
Why now
Specialty Retail · market cap $3.5b. Down 56% from 52-week high of $26.74 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +26% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.45 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $19.90 (implying +68% upside).
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 56% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $19.90 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $29.13 at ~20% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $43.22 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
0.0 over 14 daily scores
From 72.0 (Jun 22) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
168
Position size
$1,989
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$8.88
25% below $11.84
$ at risk if stopped
$497.28
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO): score, valuation & FAQ

MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is a Specialty Retail company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A), Rev (A-) and P/E (A-).

Is MNSO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MNSO 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A), Rev (A-) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of MINISO Group Holding Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MNSO score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MNSO earns its highest marks on PEG (A), Rev (A-) and P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MNSO overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for MNSO — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in MNSO?

Down 56% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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