FCF is negative (-$72m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+51.2%FY YoYA
Revenue +51.2% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E——
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/S3.8xC+
P/S 3.8x — above the Industrials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG0.87est.B+
PEG 0.87 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 49.3
Quality22.6
Growth97.8
Value63.3
Why this score
Short track record
Foreign reporter (CAD)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
29% off the 12-month high
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
MDA Space is a compelling growth story, driven by its critical role in the expanding space economy, particularly through its satellite communications solutions like MDA AURORA and autonomous robotics systems. Our model's strongest pillar, Growth, scores an impressive 98/100, reflecting the company's ability to deliver a staggering 51.2% FY YoY revenue growth. Despite a P/E of 61.8, the 0.87 PEG ratio suggests this growth is not fully priced in, making the current valuation attractive for long-term investors. The thesis rests on MDA's continued capture of market share in essential space infrastructure, validated by a strong_buy analyst consensus.
Moat
MDA's durable edge stems from its highly specialized and mission-critical space technology solutions, including advanced autonomous robotics systems used for operations in space and on the surfaces of the Moon and Mars, as well as sophisticated electro-optic and light detection and ranging sensors. These complex systems, requiring significant R&D and long qualification cycles, create substantial barriers to entry for competitors. The company's expertise in providing robotic systems, interfaces, tooling, and ground control stations establishes deep integration with its customers, fostering high switching costs and securing long-term contracts in critical space infrastructure.
Risk
Skeptics would point to MDA's precarious profitability and cash generation, reflected in our model's weakest pillar, Quality, scoring a mere 23/100. The company's razor-thin 2.2% profit margin and negative free cash flow of -$72m (TTM) highlight the capital-intensive nature of its aerospace and defense operations, particularly in developing and deploying complex satellite communications and robotics systems. This combination, alongside a high 61.8 P/E ratio, makes MDA highly vulnerable to any project delays or cost overruns, which could quickly erode investor confidence. A sustained period of negative free cash flow or further margin compression would confirm the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $44.29 (3-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $77.47 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $138.45 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
MDA vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
MDA
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.23
0.84
-0.61
Growth
0.98
0.85
+0.13
Value
0.63
0.78
-0.14
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · MDA
Trend
+22.6 over 42 daily scores
From 26.7 (Jun 22) → 49.3 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · MDA
$
%
%
Shares to buy
56
Position size
$1,972
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$26.41
25% below $35.21
$ at risk if stopped
$492.94
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
MDA Space Ltd. (MDA): score, valuation & FAQ
MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 49.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.
Is MDA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores MDA 49.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of MDA Space Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does MDA score 49.3 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MDA earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is MDA overvalued or undervalued?
We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for MDA — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.
What are the main risks of investing in MDA?
Skeptics would point to MDA's precarious profitability and cash generation, reflected in our model's weakest pillar, Quality, scoring a mere 23/100. The company's razor-thin 2.2% profit margin and negative free cash flow of -$72m (TTM) highlight the capital-intensive nature of its aerospace and defense operations, particularly in developing and deploying complex satellite communications and robotics systems. This combination, alongside a high 61.8 P/E ratio, makes MDA highly vulnerable to any project delays or cost overruns, which could quickly erode investor confidence. A sustained period of negative free cash flow or further margin compression would confirm the bear case.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.