Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

FTAI analysis

FTAI Aviation Ltd.Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense
FCF-$954mF
Rev+48.5%A
D/E8.10D
P/S7.1xC
PEG0.88B+
67.1Score
$197.50$20.3B
1Y Target$383.60Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$670.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,701Long-dated conviction
FCF-$954mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$954m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+48.5%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +48.5% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E8.10
D
D/E 8.10 — most levered decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
P/S7.1x
C
P/S 7.1x — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.88proxy
B+
PEG 0.88 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 67.1
Quality0.47
Growth1.00
Value0.64
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
39% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability27% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $20.3b. Down 39% from 52-week high of $323.51 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +48% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.88 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $383.60 (implying +94% upside).
Moat
Net margin 19% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent.
Risk
D/E 8.10 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$954m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $383.60 (10-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $670.92 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $1,701 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+14.7 over 31 daily scores
From 52.4 (Jun 22) → 67.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
10
Position size
$1,975
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$148.13
25% below $197.50
$ at risk if stopped
$493.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI): score, valuation & FAQ

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 67.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (B+), while D/E (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is FTAI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FTAI 67.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of FTAI Aviation Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FTAI score 67.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). FTAI earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (B+), and is held back by D/E (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is FTAI overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for FTAI — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in FTAI?

D/E 8.10 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$954m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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