Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ARXS analysis

Arxis, Inc.Aerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

ARXS
Arxis, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense
FCF$199mC
Rev+115.5%A
D/E0.40B+
P/S13.0xD
PEG
49.3Score
$53.26$22.9B
1Y Target$61.70Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$107.91Compound horizon
10Y Target$192.86Long-dated conviction
FCF$199mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $199m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+115.5%FY YoY
A
Revenue +115.5% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.40
B+
D/E 0.40 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S13.0x
D
P/S 13.0x — most expensive decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 49.3
Quality68.1
Growth100.0
Value17.5
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value390% aboveest. fair value ~$11
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~58% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $22.9b. 13% off the 52-week high of $61.50. Revenue growing +115% — in hypergrowth territory. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $61.70 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 156% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
P/S 13.0x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $61.70 (10-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $107.91 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $192.86 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ARXS vs the Top Picks average

PillarARXSBook avgDiff
Quality0.680.84-0.16
Growth1.000.84+0.16
Value0.180.78-0.61

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-9.0 over 47 daily scores
From 58.3 (Jun 22) → 49.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+18.4%
90-day change+26.7%
Forward EPS estimate$1.29

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ARXS to earn is materially higher (+26.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
37
Position size
$1,971
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$39.95
25% below $53.26
$ at risk if stopped
$492.65
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Arxis, Inc. (ARXS): score, valuation & FAQ

Arxis, Inc. (ARXS) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 49.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (B+), while P/S (D) rate weaker. On valuation, ARXS sits about 390% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 58% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ARXS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ARXS 49.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Arxis, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ARXS score 49.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ARXS earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (B+), and is held back by P/S (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ARXS overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $53.26, ARXS sits about 390% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 58% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ARXS?

P/S 13.0x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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