Bull Rankings model

Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (INDV) stock analysis

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
INDV
Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
76.8Score
$35.42Oct 13 close$4.2B
1Y Target$49.00Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$85.70Compound horizon
10Y Target$153.16Long-dated conviction
FCF-$111mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$111m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+13.5%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +13.5% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/ENegative equity
—
Shareholders' equity is below zero, usually after years of share buybacks, so debt-to-equity has no meaning here. When the company earns an operating profit, the score measures its debt as net debt against that profit instead.
P/S*3.1x
B
P/S 3.1x — near the Healthcare median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.20est.
B+
PEG 1.20 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark) · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 76.8
Quality76.1
Growth87.2
Value68.3
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
Gross profitability89% · Agross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC119.2% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedWritten from the fundamentals then; figures in the text are as of that day, today's are above · Editorial standards

Why now
The bull case hinges on INDV’s market‑leading SUBLOCADE monthly buprenorphine injection, which locks patients into a high‑margin, recurring revenue stream. Revenue is expanding at 13.5% YoY, while a 26.7% profit margin shows the business can capture that growth profitably, and a P/E of 12.8x signals the stock trades on the cheap side of peers (Value pillar 55). As long as opioid‑dependence treatment demand stays robust, this compounding engine will keep accelerating.
Moat
INDV’s moat rests on its patented buprenorphine delivery platforms—SUBLOCADE’s extended‑release injection and SUBOXONE’s sublingual formulations—creating high switching costs for patients and providers who rely on proven, FDA‑approved therapies. The monthly injection reduces adherence hurdles, giving INDV a durable advantage that competitors cannot quickly replicate without costly clinical trials.
Risk
The bear case centers on the company’s negative free cash flow of -$111 m and a disastrous ROE of -170.7%, indicating equity erosion and a reliance on external financing. If cash burn accelerates or the regulatory environment tightens, the stock could be forced into a discount, and a breach of the current P/E multiple would confirm the downside.
Horizon
1-3 yr $49.00 (4-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $85.70 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $153.16 — return distribution heavily skewed.

INDV vs the Top Picks average

PillarINDVBook avgDiff
Quality7684-8
Growth8791-4
Value6876-8

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 83.0); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+24.2 over 83 daily scores
From 52.6 (Jun 22) → 76.8 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

INDV at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD76.8/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY76.1GROWTH87.2VALUE68.3
REVENUE TO CASHRevenue$1.3b · 100%Net income$355m · 26.7%Free cash flow-$111m · -8.3%Burning cash — earnings aren't yet funding the business.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100INDV 76.8Top 3% of 1,680 companies on the quality-growth score.
ANALYST PRICE TARGETS$49$35.4TODAY$43 LOWHIGH $534 analysts average $49, 38% above today's $35.4. A target isan opinion, not a valuation - our DCF is the independent read.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+17.9%
Forward EPS estimate$4.88

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect INDV to earn is materially higher (+17.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
56
Position size
$1,984
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$26.57
25% below $35.42
$ at risk if stopped
$495.88
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

The Bull Rankings deep dive

Analysis as of · figures are as written that day and are not updated. Today's numbers are in the cards above.

Written by the Bull Rankings model from fundamentals as of , and checked against those figures. How we source & verify every figure →

The Bull Rankings scorecard — our quality-growth score is 71.1 / 100, built from three pillars scored 0–100: Quality 76, Growth 87, Value 54 (valuation is judged against sector peers).

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD71.1/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY76.1GROWTH87.2VALUE54.1

The thesis

Indivior’s current price of $35.99 sits on the cheap side of its sector, with a P/S of 3.2x that the Bull Rankings model flags as below the Healthcare median (≈40th percentile). That alone suggests the market is under‑pricing the company’s revenue engine. The model’s quality‑growth score of 71.1/100 is driven by a Growth pillar of 87 and a Quality pillar of 76. The Value pillar, at 54, confirms the stock is priced on the cheaper end of its peer group. The strongest signal—Buying back stock—shows management believes the shares are undervalued and is actively returning capital to shareholders. Together, these data points argue that INDV is a value play with a high‑growth engine that deserves a closer look.

What the business actually is

REVENUE TO CASHRevenue$1.3b · 100%Net income$355m · 26.7%Free cash flow-$111m · -8.3%Burning cash — earnings aren't yet funding the business.

Indivior develops, manufactures, and sells buprenorphine‑based prescription drugs for opioid dependence. Its flagship products are SUBLOCADE (a monthly extended‑release injection) and SUBOXONE (a buprenorphine‑naloxone sublingual film). The company also markets SUBOXONE Tablet and SUBUTEX Tablet, both buprenorphine sublingual formulations for opioid use disorder. These products serve clinicians and patients in the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and other international markets, positioning Indivior as a niche player in the specialty drug space.

Why it can (or can't) keep compounding

Margins remain razor‑sharp: a profit margin of 26.7% in the latest quarter underscores efficient cost control and pricing power. Revenue grew 13.5% YoY, a solid pace for a specialty drug company that is still expanding its patient base. The company’s free cash flow of –$111m signals heavy reinvestment, but the negative figure is offset by the Buying back stock signal, implying a future shift toward positive cash generation once the company scales. Indivior’s moat lies in its narrow, FDA‑approved product portfolio and the entrenched relationships with addiction treatment centers. Competitors would need to replicate the complex regulatory approvals and build comparable distribution networks, a barrier that is not easily surmounted.

The valuation question

ANALYST PRICE TARGETS$49$36TODAY$43 LOWHIGH $534 analysts average $49, 36% above today's $36. A target is anopinion, not a valuation - our DCF is the independent read.

The P/S of 3.2x places INDV below the Healthcare median, indicating the market values its sales at a modest premium. The reverse DCF offers no read because free cash flow is negative, so we rely on the multiple and the model’s Value pillar. With a Value score of 54, the stock is priced on the cheaper side of its peers, suggesting the market has not fully absorbed the company’s growth trajectory. The model’s Growth pillar of 87 reflects a revenue growth of 13.5%, far above the sector average, yet the price does not yet reflect the implied future earnings that such growth could generate. In short, optimism about growth is not yet priced in, and the current price leaves room for upside if the company continues to expand its patient base.

The bear case

The most compelling risk is the negative free cash flow of –$111m. A cash‑negative position limits the company’s ability to fund R&D, pursue acquisitions, or weather downturns in the opioid treatment market. If the company cannot reverse this trend, the Buying back stock signal may evaporate, and the stock could retreat toward its 52‑week low of $22.56. A sustained decline in revenue growth below the current 13.5% would also erode the high Growth pillar, undermining the valuation case.

What would change our mind

BULL SCORE OVER TIME71.1Jun 22Oct 5Ranged 37–72 over 76 trading days · now 71.1 (up +18.5).
  1. Free cash flow turns positive: A shift from –$111m to a positive figure would validate the company’s ability to fund growth and support the stock‑buyback signal.
  2. Revenue growth dips below 10%: A slowdown would weaken the Growth pillar from 87 to a lower score, pulling the overall quality‑growth score down.
  3. P/S climbs above 5x: If the market starts pricing sales at a higher multiple, the Value pillar would rise above 54, indicating the stock is no longer cheap and reducing the upside potential.

These thresholds are anchored to the latest quarter ended 2026‑06‑30, ensuring that any shift in the data would materially alter the investment thesis.

Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (INDV): score, valuation & FAQ

Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (INDV) is a Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic company that scores 76.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is INDV a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores INDV 76.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does INDV score 76.8 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 87.2 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 68.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. INDV earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so INDV is measured against Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is INDV overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for INDV — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in INDV?

The bear case centers on the company’s negative free cash flow of -$111 m and a disastrous ROE of -170.7%, indicating equity erosion and a reliance on external financing. If cash burn accelerates or the regulatory environment tightens, the stock could be forced into a discount, and a breach of the current P/E multiple would confirm the downside.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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