Installed Building Products, Inc. · Residential Construction
FCF$315mC
Rev+0.5%C
D/E1.77C+
P/E25.4xC+
PEG24.34D
49.3Score
$237.97$6.2B
1Y Target$233.27Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$341.53Compound horizon
10Y Target$506.64Long-dated conviction
FCF$315mTTMC
FCF $315m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+0.5%TTM YoYC
Revenue +0.5% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E1.77C+
D/E 1.77 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E25.4xC+
P/E 25.4 — above the Consumer Cyclical median (≈75th pctile)
PEG24.34proxyD
PEG 24.34 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 49.3
Quality0.78
Growth0.50
Value0.31
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
32% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value76% aboveest. fair value ~$135
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~23% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability45% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC17.0% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Residential Construction · market cap $6.2b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $349.00 — deep drawdown territory. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $233.27 (implying -2% upside).
Moat
ROE 38% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 123% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.72 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $233.27 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $341.53 at ~7% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $506.64 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
IBP vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
IBP
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.78
0.83
-0.04
Growth
0.50
0.91
-0.41
Value
0.31
0.75
-0.44
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · IBP
Trend
-8.8 over 32 daily scores
From 58.1 (Jun 22) → 49.3 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · IBP
$
%
%
Shares to buy
8
Position size
$1,904
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$178.48
25% below $237.97
$ at risk if stopped
$475.95
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP): score, valuation & FAQ
Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP) is a Residential Construction company that scores 49.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
The model flags PEG (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, IBP sits about 76% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 23% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is IBP a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores IBP 49.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Installed Building Products, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does IBP score 49.3 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). IBP grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is IBP overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $237.97, IBP sits about 76% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 23% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 25.4x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in IBP?
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.72 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.