Champion Homes, Inc. — Residential Construction. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
SKY
Champion Homes, Inc. · Residential Construction
FCF$270mC
Rev+7.3%B
D/E0.09A
P/E22.6xB
PEG3.04D
52.7Score
$84.00$4.6B
1Y Target$92.50Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$135.43Compound horizon
10Y Target$200.90Long-dated conviction
FCF$270mTTMC
FCF $270m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+7.3%TTM YoYB
Revenue +7.3% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.09A
D/E 0.09 — least levered decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
P/E22.6xB
P/E 22.6 — near the Consumer Cyclical median (≈60th pctile)
PEG3.04proxyD
PEG 3.04 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 52.7
Quality0.75
Growth0.50
Value0.39
Why this score
Buying back stock
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
15% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value17% belowest. fair value ~$101
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~7% a year for the next decade — vs the ~18% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability33% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC12.5% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Residential Construction · market cap $4.6b. 15% off the 52-week high of $99.17. 6 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $92.50 (implying +10% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 130% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $92.50 (6-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $135.43 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $200.90 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
SKY vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
SKY
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.75
0.83
-0.08
Growth
0.50
0.91
-0.41
Value
0.39
0.75
-0.36
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · SKY
Trend
-4.4 over 34 daily scores
From 57.1 (Jun 22) → 52.7 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · SKY
$
%
%
Shares to buy
23
Position size
$1,932
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$63.00
25% below $84.00
$ at risk if stopped
$483.00
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY): score, valuation & FAQ
Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) is a Residential Construction company that scores 52.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, SKY sits about 17% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 7% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is SKY a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores SKY 52.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Champion Homes, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does SKY score 52.7 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SKY earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is SKY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $84.00, SKY sits about 17% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 7% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 22.6x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in SKY?
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.