Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

EROC analysis

ERock, Inc. — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
EROC
ERock, Inc. · Specialty Industrial Machinery
FCF——
Rev+42.5%A
D/E0.12A
P/E50.5xC
PEG0.22A
72.0Score
$14.13$3.9B
1Y Target$22.88Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$33.49Compound horizon
10Y Target$49.68Long-dated conviction
FCF—
—
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+42.5%FY YoY
A
Revenue +42.5% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.12
A
D/E 0.12 — least levered decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
P/E50.5x
C
P/E 50.5 — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.22est.
A
PEG 0.22 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality58.0
Growth98.5
Value98.5
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
32% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
ERock’s explosive 42.5% FY YoY revenue growth in a market where data centers and utilities are scrambling for resilient backup power makes the stock a growth engine, and the ultra‑low PEG of 0.27 proves the market is undervaluing that expansion. Even with a lofty P/E of 62.1, the company’s debt‑to‑equity of just 0.12 gives it ample headroom to reinvest, meaning the compounding power plant pipeline will keep feeding earnings. The thesis rests on the continued rollout of modular, dispatchable power systems to data‑center customers, a segment that will keep the revenue curve steep.
Moat
ERock’s moat lies in its end‑to‑end service model for distributed power—design, install, operate and maintain modular plants—creating high switching costs for data‑center and utility clients who value uptime guarantees. The company’s asset‑management expertise locks in long‑term contracts, while its Houston‑based engineering team tailors solutions that competitors can’t replicate quickly, preserving pricing power in a niche yet expanding market.
Risk
The bear case centers on the razor‑thin profit margin of -66.7%, which signals that the current revenue surge isn’t yet translating into earnings, and a P/E of 62.1 suggests the market may be overpaying for growth that could stall if data‑center capex slows. A widening loss or a slowdown in the 42.5% growth rate would validate the high valuation and could push the stock back toward its 52‑week low of $8.88. The key trigger for the bear view is a sustained margin contraction beyond the current loss level.
Horizon
1-3 yr $22.88 (8-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $33.49 at ~19% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $49.68 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

EROC vs the Top Picks average

PillarEROCBook avgDiff
Quality0.580.84-0.26
Growth0.980.84+0.15
Value0.980.78+0.20

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Score history · EROC
Trend
+34.5 over 28 daily scores
From 37.5 (Jul 16) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.1%
90-day change+0.1%
Forward EPS estimate$0.47

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect EROC to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Position sizing · EROC
Shares to buy
141
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$10.60
25% below $14.13
$ at risk if stopped
$498.08
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest EROC developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

ERock, Inc. (EROC): score, valuation & FAQ

ERock, Inc. (EROC) is a Specialty Industrial Machinery company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (A).

Is EROC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores EROC 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of ERock, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does EROC score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). EROC earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is EROC overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for EROC — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in EROC?

The bear case centers on the razor‑thin profit margin of -66.7%, which signals that the current revenue surge isn’t yet translating into earnings, and a P/E of 62.1 suggests the market may be overpaying for growth that could stall if data‑center capex slows. A widening loss or a slowdown in the 42.5% growth rate would validate the high valuation and could push the stock back toward its 52‑week low of $8.88. The key trigger for the bear view is a sustained margin contraction beyond the current loss level.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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