Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PNR analysis

Pentair plcSpecialty Industrial Machinery. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

PNR
Pentair plc · Specialty Industrial Machinery
FCF$716mC+
Rev+3.1%C+
D/E0.55B+
P/E19.0xA-
PEG1.13B+
71.5Score
$64.33$10.4B
1Y Target$99.94Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$146.32Compound horizon
10Y Target$217.06Long-dated conviction
FCF$716mTTM
C+
FCF $716m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+3.1%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +3.1% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.55
B+
D/E 0.55 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E19.0x
A-
P/E 19.0 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.13
B+
PEG 1.13 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 71.5
Quality0.76
Growth0.63
Value0.76
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
44% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value11% belowest. fair value ~$72
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~3% a year for the next decade — vs the ~9% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability24% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC11.9% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Pentair’s Flow segment is the engine, feeding global water‑infrastructure upgrades with its high‑margin pump and fluid‑treatment systems. The business is already generating $716 m of free cash flow on a 16% profit margin, while delivering 3.1% revenue growth YoY, and its ROE of 17.6% shows capital is being deployed efficiently. That cash‑rich, moderately growing franchise is poised to compound as municipalities and heavy‑industry double‑down on wastewater reuse and advanced filtration, making the upside hinge on sustained Flow‑segment expansion.
Moat
Pentair’s moat lives in its integrated Flow solutions—custom pump packages, membrane bioreactors and gas‑recovery systems that are engineered to specific plant specs. Industrial customers face high switching costs because retrofitting a plant for a new vendor means costly engineering, certification and downtime, giving Pentair pricing power and a defensible share of the $30 bn global water‑treatment market.
Risk
The biggest head‑wind is the tepid top‑line momentum: revenue is only up 3.1% YoY, far below the double‑digit growth of faster‑growing water‑tech peers, and the market still values the stock at a forward P/E of 16.2. A slowdown in infrastructure spend or a shift to cheaper, modular pump alternatives could compress margins further, and a breach of the 52‑week low ($57.99) would signal that the growth story is fading.
Horizon
1-3 yr $99.94 (17-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $146.32 at ~18% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $217.06 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+2.4 over 20 daily scores
From 69.1 (Jun 22) → 71.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
31
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$48.25
25% below $64.33
$ at risk if stopped
$498.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Pentair plc (PNR): score, valuation & FAQ

Pentair plc (PNR) is a Specialty Industrial Machinery company that scores 71.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, PNR sits about 11% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PNR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PNR 71.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Pentair plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PNR score 71.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PNR earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $64.33, PNR sits about 11% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 19.0x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PNR?

The biggest head‑wind is the tepid top‑line momentum: revenue is only up 3.1% YoY, far below the double‑digit growth of faster‑growing water‑tech peers, and the market still values the stock at a forward P/E of 16.2. A slowdown in infrastructure spend or a shift to cheaper, modular pump alternatives could compress margins further, and a breach of the 52‑week low ($57.99) would signal that the growth story is fading.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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