Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PNR analysis

Pentair plcSpecialty Industrial Machinery. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Water
PNR
Pentair plc · Specialty Industrial Machinery
FCF$716mC+
Rev+3.1%C+
D/E0.47B+
P/E16.3xA-
PEG1.14B+
70.1Score
$62.46$10.0B
1Y Target$76.31Analyst consensus · 13 analysts
5Y Target$111.72Compound horizon
10Y Target$165.73Long-dated conviction
FCF$716mTTM
C+
FCF $716m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+3.1%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +3.1% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.47
B+
D/E 0.47 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E16.3x
A-
P/E 16.3 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.14
B+
PEG 1.14 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 70.1
Quality77.3
Growth59.3
Value75.2
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
45% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value19% belowest. fair value ~$77
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~2% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability24% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC11.9% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Pentair’s Flow segment is poised to capture the next wave of water‑infrastructure upgrades in the United States and Western Europe, driving a durable cash‑flow engine. Management’s recent dividend raise signals confidence, while the company delivers $716 m of free cash flow, a solid 17.6% ROE and a PE of 17.1x that still reflects modest growth expectations. The bull case hinges on the Flow segment’s ability to compound its 3.1% revenue growth into higher margins as water‑treatment demand accelerates.
Moat
Pentair’s moat lives in its highly engineered pump and fluid‑treatment portfolio—pressure vessels, membrane bioreactors and turbine pumps—that are embedded in critical municipal and industrial water systems. Customers face high switching costs because these assets are capital‑intensive and require specialized engineering support, allowing Pentair to sustain pricing power that underpins its 17.6% ROE.
Risk
The bear case centers on the tepid top‑line momentum: revenue is only up 3.1% YoY, far below the 4% annual FCF growth baked into today’s price by our reverse‑DCF, suggesting the market may be over‑optimistic about future compounding. A PE of 17.1x, while reasonable, leaves little room for error if margin pressure or higher debt‑to‑equity (0.47) erodes cash generation. A sustained slowdown in water‑infrastructure spending would confirm the downside.
Horizon
1-3 yr $76.31 (13-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $111.72 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $165.73 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PNR vs the Top Picks average

PillarPNRBook avgDiff
Quality0.770.83-0.06
Growth0.590.87-0.28
Value0.750.76in line

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.0 over 52 daily scores
From 69.1 (Jun 22) → 70.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

PNR at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD70.1/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY77.3GROWTH59.3VALUE75.2Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~2% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$69.7$90.2FAIR-VALUE RANGE$62.5PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$77.5 · price $62.5 is 24% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$62.5$57.6 LOWHIGH $114Trading near its 52-week low ($57.6–$114).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100PNR 70.1Top 8% of 1,827 scored names.

Every figure here comes from the same audited fundamentals behind the score. Charts drawn from data the score does not use say so on the card.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.0%
90-day change-11.1%
Forward EPS estimate$5.17

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PNR to earn is materially lower (-11.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
32
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$46.84
25% below $62.46
$ at risk if stopped
$499.68
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Pentair plc (PNR): score, valuation & FAQ

Pentair plc (PNR) is a Specialty Industrial Machinery company that scores 70.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, PNR sits about 19% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PNR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PNR 70.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Pentair plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PNR score 70.1 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 77.3 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 59.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. PNR earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so PNR is measured against Specialty Industrial Machinery peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is PNR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $62.46, PNR sits about 19% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.3x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PNR?

The bear case centers on the tepid top‑line momentum: revenue is only up 3.1% YoY, far below the 4% annual FCF growth baked into today’s price by our reverse‑DCF, suggesting the market may be over‑optimistic about future compounding. A PE of 17.1x, while reasonable, leaves little room for error if margin pressure or higher debt‑to‑equity (0.47) erodes cash generation. A sustained slowdown in water‑infrastructure spending would confirm the downside.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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