★MWA
Mueller Water Products, Inc. · Specialty Industrial Machinery
FCF$141mC
Rev+8.7%B
D/E0.42B+
P/E18.7xA-
PEG1.03B+
1Y Target$31.00Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$45.39Compound horizon
10Y Target$67.33Long-dated conviction
FCF$141mTTMCFCF $141m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+8.7%TTM YoYBRevenue +8.7% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.42B+D/E 0.42 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E18.7xA-P/E 18.7 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.03B+PEG 1.03 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 75
Quality0.74
Growth0.76
Value0.75
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low20% off the 12-month high vs DCF fair value78% aboveest. fair value ~$14
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability29% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC14.5% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Specialty Industrial Machinery · market cap $3.9b. 20% off the 52-week high of $31.00. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $31.00 (implying +24% upside).
Moat
Net margin 14% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $31.00 (6-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $45.39 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $67.33 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See
terms and
methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · MWA
Position size
$1,993
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$18.68
25% below $24.91
$ at risk if stopped
$498.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA): score, valuation & FAQ
Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) is a Specialty Industrial Machinery company that scores 75 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, MWA sits about 78% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is MWA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores MWA 75 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Mueller Water Products, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does MWA score 75 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MWA earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is MWA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $24.91, MWA sits about 78% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 18.7x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in MWA?
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.
More Industrials stocks by score
Analyze another ticker →