D/E 0.18 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E7.7xA
P/E 7.7 — cheapest decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.78proxyA-
PEG 0.78 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 73.6
Quality0.86
Growth0.50
Value0.93
Why this score
Durable high returns
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
22% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value19% aboveest. fair value ~$55
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~8% a year for the next decade — vs the ~3% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability28% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC20.2% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · market cap $2.1b. Down 22% from 52-week high of $83.39 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.78 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $89.25 (implying +37% upside).
Moat
Net margin 17% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 43% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $89.25 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $112.68 at ~12% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $144.50 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
BLBD vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
BLBD
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.86
0.83
+0.03
Growth
0.50
0.91
-0.41
Value
0.93
0.76
+0.17
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · BLBD
Trend
+4.9 over 38 daily scores
From 68.7 (Jun 22) → 73.6 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · BLBD
$
%
%
Shares to buy
30
Position size
$1,960
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$49.00
25% below $65.33
$ at risk if stopped
$489.97
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD): score, valuation & FAQ
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company that scores 73.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (A-). On valuation, BLBD sits about 19% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is BLBD a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores BLBD 73.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Blue Bird Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does BLBD score 73.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BLBD earns its highest marks on P/E (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is BLBD overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $65.33, BLBD sits about 19% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 7.7x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in BLBD?
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.