Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CDE analysis

Coeur Mining, Inc.Gold. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Gold & Precious Metals
CDE
Coeur Mining, Inc. · Gold
FCF$1.2bC+
Rev+117.3%A
D/E0.07A-
P/E14.6xB+
PEG3.75D
56.1Score
$17.39$17.9B
1Y Target$24.84Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$36.37Compound horizon
10Y Target$53.95Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.2bTTM
C+
FCF $1.2b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+117.3%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +117.3% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.07
A-
D/E 0.07 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E14.6x
B+
P/E 14.6 — below the Basic Materials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG3.75
D
PEG 3.75 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 56.1
Quality0.61
Growth0.50
Value0.58
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
37% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value16% belowest. fair value ~$21
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~10% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability18% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC7.9% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Gold · market cap $17.9b. Down 37% from 52-week high of $27.77 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +117% — in hypergrowth territory. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $24.84 (implying +43% upside).
Moat
Net margin 27% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. FCF converts 136% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $24.84 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $36.37 at ~16% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $53.95 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CDE vs the Top Picks average

PillarCDEBook avgDiff
Quality0.610.83-0.22
Growth0.500.92-0.42
Value0.580.75-0.17

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+0.9 over 37 daily scores
From 55.2 (Jun 22) → 56.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
115
Position size
$2,000
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$13.04
25% below $17.39
$ at risk if stopped
$499.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE): score, valuation & FAQ

Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) is a Gold company that scores 56.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, CDE sits about 16% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 10% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is CDE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CDE 56.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Coeur Mining, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CDE score 56.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CDE earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CDE overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $17.39, CDE sits about 16% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 10% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 14.6x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CDE?

Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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