Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CCU analysis

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SABeverages. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA · Beverages
FCF
Rev-3.0%D+
D/E0.86B
P/E19.2xB
PEG
39.0Score
$12.34$2.1T
1Y Target$14.19Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$20.78Compound horizon
10Y Target$30.82Long-dated conviction
FCFTTM
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev-3.0%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -3.0% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.86
B
D/E 0.86 — at market average, manageable
P/E19.2x
B
P/E 19.2 — moderate premium, defensible with growth
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 39
Quality62.2
Growth14.7
Value65.1
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
  • Cut its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
100% off the 12-month high

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Beverages · market cap $2.1T. Down 100% from 52-week high of $6598.30 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
$2.1T market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
Down 100% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.5% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $14.19 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $20.78 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $30.82 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CCU vs the Top Picks average

PillarCCUBook avgDiff
Quality0.620.84-0.22
Growth0.150.84-0.69
Value0.650.78-0.13

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-6.3 over 39 daily scores
From 45.3 (Jul 2) → 39.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+2.2%
Forward EPS estimate$0.91

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CCU to earn is drifting higher (+2.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
162
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.25
25% below $12.34
$ at risk if stopped
$499.77
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA (CCU): score, valuation & FAQ

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA (CCU) is a Beverages company that scores 39 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags Rev (D+) as weaker areas.

Is CCU a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CCU 39 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CCU score 39 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CCU grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CCU overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for CCU — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in CCU?

Down 100% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.5% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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