Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LAUR analysis

Laureate Education, Inc.Education & Training Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

LAUR
Laureate Education, Inc. · Education & Training Services
FCF$287mC
Rev+17.9%B+
D/E0.64B+
P/E16.9xB+
PEG1.20B+
75.0Score
$37.27$5.1B
1Y Target$41.21Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$60.34Compound horizon
10Y Target$89.51Long-dated conviction
FCF$287mTTM
C
FCF $287m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+17.9%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +17.9% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.64
B+
D/E 0.64 — below the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E16.9x
B+
P/E 16.9 — below the Consumer Defensive median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.20
B+
PEG 1.20 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 75
Quality90.8
Growth80.5
Value57.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value5% belowest. fair value ~$39
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~8% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability21% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC27.0% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
LAUR’s hybrid and online health‑sciences degree platform is the engine of a 17.9% YoY revenue growth rate, underpinned by a 17.6% profit margin and a stellar ROE of 28.2%. Our Bull Rankings model awards a Quality score of 91 – the strongest pillar – reflecting the durability of its accredited medical and engineering programs, while the reverse‑DCF shows the current price already embeds an optimistic 8% annual free‑cash‑flow growth assumption that is well below the actual revenue compounding, leaving upside room. The thesis rests on the continued expansion of high‑margin health‑science enrollments driving compounding earnings.
Moat
The university’s accredited medical and health‑sciences curricula create high switching costs for students who invest years of tuition and licensing preparation, locking in tuition revenue and enabling pricing power that fuels the 28.2% ROE. Combined with a blended campus‑online delivery model, LAUR can scale capacity without proportionate capex, preserving margins and keeping competitors at a distance.
Risk
A weak Value pillar (57) signals that the market may be overpaying for growth, and the 0.64 debt‑to‑equity ratio, while moderate, could tighten if interest rates rise, pressuring the 17.1 P/E multiple. If enrollment growth stalls below the 17.9% pace, the implied 8% FCF growth would be unsustainable, and the stock could revert to its 52‑week low of $23.37. A breach of the 52‑week low would confirm the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $41.21 (7-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $60.34 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $89.51 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

LAUR vs the Top Picks average

PillarLAURBook avgDiff
Quality0.910.84+0.07
Growth0.800.87-0.07
Value0.580.76-0.18

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.9 over 48 daily scores
From 72.1 (Jun 22) → 75.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.8%
90-day change-2.5%
Forward EPS estimate$2.43

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect LAUR to earn is drifting lower (-2.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
53
Position size
$1,975
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$27.95
25% below $37.27
$ at risk if stopped
$493.83
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR): score, valuation & FAQ

Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) is a Education & Training Services company that scores 75 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). On valuation, LAUR sits about 5% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is LAUR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LAUR 75 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Laureate Education, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LAUR score 75 on Bull Rankings?

The score is carried by quality at 90.8 out of 100, and held back by value at 57.7 — the three pillars combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. LAUR earns its highest marks on Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so LAUR is measured against Education & Training Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is LAUR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $37.27, LAUR sits about 5% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 8% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.9x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LAUR?

A weak Value pillar (57) signals that the market may be overpaying for growth, and the 0.64 debt‑to‑equity ratio, while moderate, could tighten if interest rates rise, pressuring the 17.1 P/E multiple. If enrollment growth stalls below the 17.9% pace, the implied 8% FCF growth would be unsustainable, and the stock could revert to its 52‑week low of $23.37. A breach of the 52‑week low would confirm the bear case.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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