Grand Canyon Education, Inc. — Education & Training Services. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. · Education & Training Services
FCF$260mC
Rev+7.1%B
D/E0.15A-
P/E18.8xB+
PEG0.98B+
74.2Score
$150.61$4.0B
1Y Target$205.00Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$258.81Compound horizon
10Y Target$331.91Long-dated conviction
FCF$260mTTMC
FCF $260m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+7.1%TTM YoYB
Revenue +7.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.15A-
D/E 0.15 — less debt than most Consumer Defensive peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E18.8xB+
P/E 18.8 — below the Consumer Defensive median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.98B+
PEG 0.98 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 74.2
Quality0.81
Growth0.73
Value0.69
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
32% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value42% belowest. fair value ~$260
Quality signals · context only
ROIC26.9% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Education & Training Services · market cap $4.0b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $223.04 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.98 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 3 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $205.00 (implying +36% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 0.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 1% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $205.00 (3-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $258.81 at ~11% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $331.91 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · LOPE
$
%
%
Shares to buy
13
Position size
$1,958
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$112.96
25% below $150.61
$ at risk if stopped
$489.48
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE): score, valuation & FAQ
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) is a Education & Training Services company that scores 74.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, LOPE sits about 42% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is LOPE a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores LOPE 74.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does LOPE score 74.2 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LOPE earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is LOPE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $150.61, LOPE sits about 42% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 18.8x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in LOPE?
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 0.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 1% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.