Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BYD analysis

Boyd Gaming CorporationResorts & Casinos. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Sports Betting & Gaming
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation · Resorts & Casinos
FCF$35mC-
Rev+1.7%C
D/E1.30B
P/E3.6xA
PEG3.03D
41.7Score
$81.00$5.9B
1Y Target$95.94Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$121.12Compound horizon
10Y Target$155.33Long-dated conviction
FCF$35mTTM
C-
FCF $35m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev+1.7%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +1.7% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E1.30
B
D/E 1.30 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E3.6x
A
P/E 3.6 — cheapest decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
PEG3.03
D
PEG 3.03 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 41.7
Quality70.3
Growth22.6
Value45.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Earnings outpace cash
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
11% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value953% aboveest. fair value ~$8
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~9% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC10.4% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Resorts & Casinos · market cap $5.9b. 11% off the 52-week high of $91.41. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $95.94 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Net margin 44% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 73% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $95.94 (16-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $121.12 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $155.33 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

BYD vs the Top Picks average

PillarBYDBook avgDiff
Quality0.700.84-0.13
Growth0.230.87-0.65
Value0.460.76-0.30

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-11.5 over 48 daily scores
From 53.2 (Jun 22) → 41.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.3%
90-day change-0.9%
Forward EPS estimate$7.75

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BYD to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
24
Position size
$1,944
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$60.75
25% below $81.00
$ at risk if stopped
$486.00
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD): score, valuation & FAQ

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) is a Resorts & Casinos company that scores 41.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), while FCF (C-) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, BYD sits about 953% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.

Is BYD a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BYD 41.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Boyd Gaming Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BYD score 41.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BYD earns its highest marks on P/E (A), and is held back by FCF (C-) and PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BYD overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $81.00, BYD sits about 953% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 3.6x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in BYD?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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