★
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc · Building
FCF$862mC+
Rev-8.8%D
D/E1.02C+
P/E27.4xC+
PEG——
70Score
$74.151Y Target$85.27Near-term target
5Y Target$119.42Compound horizon
10Y Target$175.54Long-dated conviction
FCF$862mTTM · 03/26C+
FCF $862m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-8.8%TTM YoYD
Revenue -8.8% — meaningful contraction · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.02totalC+
D/E 1.02 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E27.4xC+
P/E 27.4 — elevated; requires sustained growth to justify
PEG—proxy—
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Building · market cap $8.0b. Down 51% from 52-week high of $151.03 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -9% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating.
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the 7-grade screen.
Risk
Revenue contracting -9% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.48 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $85.27 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $119.42 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $175.54 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · BLDR
Shares to buy
26
Position size
$1,928
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$55.61
25% below $74.15
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.