Revenue -0.4% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E1.35C
D/E 1.35 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E15.6xA-
P/E 15.6 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.73A-
PEG 0.73 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 68.1
Quality0.71
Growth0.50
Value0.89
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Revenue shrinking
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
45% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value21% aboveest. fair value ~$62
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~13% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability10% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC22.8% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $9.6b. Down 45% from 52-week high of $135.52 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.73 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $99.21 (implying +33% upside).
Moat
ROE 22% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 45% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.2% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $99.21 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $125.25 at ~11% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $160.63 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
ACM vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
ACM
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.71
0.83
-0.12
Growth
0.50
0.91
-0.41
Value
0.89
0.75
+0.14
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · ACM
Trend
-1.3 over 33 daily scores
From 69.4 (Jun 22) → 68.1 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · ACM
$
%
%
Shares to buy
26
Position size
$1,945
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$56.10
25% below $74.80
$ at risk if stopped
$486.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
AECOM (ACM): score, valuation & FAQ
AECOM (ACM) is a Engineering & Construction company that scores 68.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, ACM sits about 21% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is ACM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ACM 68.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of AECOM's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ACM score 68.1 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ACM earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is ACM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $74.80, ACM sits about 21% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 15.6x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ACM?
Down 45% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.2% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.