COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
AGI vs AYA
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AGI scored 69.5, AYA scored 46.4 — AGI leads.
Compare another set
Different reporting periods. AYA's fundamentals are as of March 2026, but AGI's are as of December 2025 — a 3-month gap. Growth, margin and valuation figures below therefore describe different windows and aren't strictly like-for-like.
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
69.5
$38.73 · $16.2B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
23.1
AGI leads
AYA
Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
46.4
$26.65 · $3.8B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestAGI13.9x
- Fastest growthAYA+416.7%
- Strongest balance sheetAGI0.05
- Highest qualityAYA88 / 100
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AGI
stronger →← stronger
AYA
84
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
88
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
80
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
23
AGI and AYA split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AGI
AYA
$288mC
FCF
$56mC-
+34.3%A
Rev
+416.7%A
0.05A-
D/E
0.17B+
13.9xA-
P/E
34.6xC
0.40A
PEG
—
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AGI
AYA
204% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
360% above
~46%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~60%/yr
-75%
1-yr DCF upside
-83%
-67%
5-yr DCF upside
-78%
-52%
10-yr DCF upside
-69%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AGI
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
AYA
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
- Short track record
The companies
AGIAlamos Gold Inc.
Why now
Gold · market cap $16.2b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $55.41 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +34% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.40 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $46.25 (implying +19% upside).
Moat
Net margin 49% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
AYAAya Gold & Silver Inc.
Why now
Silver · market cap $3.8b. 8% off the 52-week high of $28.89. Revenue growing +417% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 33% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Beta 1.70 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 11.2x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
AYA leads AGI by 0.8 points (70.4 to 69.6). A contrarian could still prefer AGI for its stronger P/E (grade A-). Note they play different roles — AGI screens as value, AYA screens as growth — so the model rewards different traits for each.
Our AI analyst is busy right now, so this verdict is drawn directly from the pillars, grades and DCF above.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where AGI and AYA diverge
On the headline score the gap is 23.1 points in favor of AGI. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- ValueAGI 80.3 · AYA 22.7AGI +57.6
- QualityAGI 83.7 · AYA 88.0AYA +4.3
- GrowthAGI 50.0 · AYA 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.