Silver. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
AG
First Majestic Silver Corp. · Silver
58.4Score
$17.28Oct 9 close$8.5B
1Y Target$19.87Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$29.09Compound horizon
10Y Target$43.16Long-dated conviction
FCF$464mFY · 12/25C
FCF $464m — modest; watch for margin expansion · From the fiscal year ended 12/25 in SEC filings (OCF − CapEx) — this company files no quarterly cash-flow series, so a trailing-twelve-month figure can't be assembled.
Rev+124.3%FY YoYA
Revenue +124.3% — hypergrowth, top decile · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E0.10A-
D/E 0.10 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E24.7xC+
P/E 24.7 — above the Basic Materials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG5.10est.D
PEG 5.10 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 58.4
Quality60.6
Growth50.0
Value65.7
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Diluting shareholders
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
46% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value29% aboveest. fair value ~$13
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 23% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~25% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability15% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC9.1% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Silver · market cap $8.5b. Down 46% from 52-week high of $32.04 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +124% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 17% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income.
Risk
Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.19 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $19.87 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $29.09 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $43.16 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
AG vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
AG
Book avg
Diff
Quality
61
83
-22
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
66
76
-10
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · AG
Trend
+4.6 over 82 daily scores
From 53.8 (Jun 22) → 58.4 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
AG at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-3.2%
90-day change
-15.1%
Forward EPS estimate
$0.98
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect AG to earn is materially lower (-15.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · AG
$
%
%
Shares to buy
115
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$12.96
25% below $17.28
$ at risk if stopped
$496.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG): score, valuation & FAQ
First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) is a Silver company that scores 58.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A-), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, AG sits about 29% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 23% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is AG a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores AG 58.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of First Majestic Silver Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does AG score 58.4 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on value at 65.7 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. AG earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (A-), and is held back by PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so AG is measured against Silver peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is AG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $17.28, AG sits about 29% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 23% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 24.7x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in AG?
Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.19 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.