Bull Rankings model

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (ACIW) stock analysis

Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
ACIW
ACI Worldwide, Inc. · Software - Infrastructure
69.3Score
$50.87Oct 9 close$5.1B
1Y Target$67.33Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$98.58Compound horizon
10Y Target$146.24Long-dated conviction
FCF$285mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $285m — modest; watch for margin expansion · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+10.4%FY YoY
B
Revenue +10.4% — at or above S&P median · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.58
C+
D/E 0.58 — above the Technology debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E23.2x
B+
P/E 23.2 — below the Technology median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.78
C+
PEG 1.78 — modest premium; above fair value

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 69.3
Quality71.1
Growth76.7
Value61.2
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value7% aboveest. fair value ~$47
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Software - Infrastructure · market cap $5.1b. 17% off the 52-week high of $61.08. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. 3 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $67.33 (implying +32% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 16% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 126% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.
Horizon
1-3 yr $67.33 (3-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $98.58 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $146.24 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

ACIW vs the Top Picks average

PillarACIWBook avgDiff
Quality7183-12
Growth7789-12
Value6176-15

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+2.3 over 82 daily scores
From 67.0 (Jun 22) → 69.3 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

ACIW at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD69.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY71.1GROWTH76.7VALUE61.2Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~8% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$44.4$52.1FAIR-VALUE RANGE$50.9PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$47.4 · price $50.9 is 7% above it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100ACIW 69.3Top 11% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$50.9LOW $38.1HIGH $61.1Trading at the 56th percentile of its 52-week range ($38.1–$61.1).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.5%
90-day change+2.0%
Forward EPS estimate$3.91

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ACIW to earn is drifting higher (+2.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
39
Position size
$1,984
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$38.15
25% below $50.87
$ at risk if stopped
$495.98
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (ACIW): score, valuation & FAQ

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (ACIW) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 69.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (B+). On valuation, ACIW sits about 7% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is ACIW a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ACIW 69.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ACIW score 69.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 76.7 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 61.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. ACIW earns its highest marks on P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so ACIW is measured against Software - Infrastructure peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is ACIW overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $50.87, ACIW sits about 7% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 23.2x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ACIW?

Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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