1Y Target$13.78Near-term target
5Y Target$17.08Compound horizon
10Y Target$21.80Long-dated conviction
FCF$234mTTM · 03/26CFCF $234m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+23.4%TTM YoYA-Revenue +23.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.62CD/E 1.62 — elevated leverage, limits flexibility
P/E10.8xA-P/E 10.8 — cheap relative to market and most sectors
PEG0.46proxyAPEG 0.46 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Technology · market cap $1.1b. Down 72% from 52-week high of $44.99 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +23%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.46 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 72% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 5.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $13.78 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $17.08 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $21.80 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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