Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

WB analysis

Weibo CorporationInternet Content & Information. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

WB
Weibo Corporation · Internet Content & Information
FCF$477mC
Rev+0.1%C
D/E0.46B+
P/E6.2xA
PEG0.79A-
61.0Score
$7.19$1.8B
1Y Target$8.60Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$10.86Compound horizon
10Y Target$13.93Long-dated conviction
FCF$477mTTM
C
FCF $477m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+0.1%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.1% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.46
B+
D/E 0.46 — below the Communication Services debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E6.2x
A
P/E 6.2 — cheapest decile in Communication Services (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.79
A-
PEG 0.79 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 61
Quality72.0
Growth39.0
Value80.9
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
45% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value78% belowest. fair value ~$33
What the price assumes: outright free-cash-flow decline for the next decade — vs the ~10% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability19% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC6.1% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Internet Content & Information · market cap $1.8b. Down 45% from 52-week high of $12.96 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.79 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $8.60 (implying +20% upside).
Moat
Net margin 26% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 106% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 45% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $8.60 (16-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $10.86 at ~9% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $13.93 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

WB vs the Top Picks average

PillarWBBook avgDiff
Quality0.720.84-0.12
Growth0.390.84-0.45
Value0.810.78+0.03

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+4.4 over 47 daily scores
From 56.6 (Jun 22) → 61.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-6.7%
90-day change-8.9%
Forward EPS estimate$1.38

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect WB to earn is materially lower (-8.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
278
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$5.39
25% below $7.19
$ at risk if stopped
$499.71
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Weibo Corporation (WB): score, valuation & FAQ

Weibo Corporation (WB) is a Internet Content & Information company that scores 61 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), PEG (A-) and D/E (B+). On valuation, WB sits about 78% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade.

Is WB a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores WB 61 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A), PEG (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Weibo Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does WB score 61 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). WB earns its highest marks on P/E (A), PEG (A-) and D/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is WB overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $7.19, WB sits about 78% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade. It trades at a 6.2x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in WB?

Down 45% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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