Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

GOOG analysis

Alphabet Inc.Internet Content & Information. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

GOOG
Alphabet Inc. · Internet Content & Information
FCF$53.3bA
Rev+20.1%A-
D/E0.19A-
P/E17.8xB
PEG0.96B+
69.3Score
$355.84$4.4T
1Y Target$421.79Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$532.50Compound horizon
10Y Target$682.92Long-dated conviction
FCF$53.3bTTM
A
FCF $53.3b — top-tier cash generation, rarefied air
Rev+20.1%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +20.1% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.19
A-
D/E 0.19 — less debt than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E17.8x
B
P/E 17.8 — near the Communication Services median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.96
B+
PEG 0.96 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 69.3
Quality0.85
Growth0.66
Value0.59
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
12% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value693% aboveest. fair value ~$45
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~54% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability29% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC15.8% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Internet Content & Information · market cap $4.4T. 12% off the 52-week high of $404.47. Revenue growing +20%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.96 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $421.79 (implying +19% upside).
Moat
Net margin 55% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 38% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $4.4T market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $421.79 (14-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $532.50 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $682.92 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

GOOG vs the Top Picks average

PillarGOOGBook avgDiff
Quality0.850.83in line
Growth0.660.91-0.25
Value0.590.76-0.17

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+10.7 over 38 daily scores
From 58.6 (Jun 22) → 69.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
5
Position size
$1,779
3.6% of portfolio
Stop price
$266.88
25% below $355.84
$ at risk if stopped
$444.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG): score, valuation & FAQ

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is a Internet Content & Information company that scores 69.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-). On valuation, GOOG sits about 693% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 54% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is GOOG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GOOG 69.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by FCF (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Alphabet Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GOOG score 69.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GOOG earns its highest marks on FCF (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is GOOG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $355.84, GOOG sits about 693% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 54% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 17.8x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GOOG?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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