Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

VSAT analysis

Viasat, Inc.Communication Equipment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Space
VSAT
Viasat, Inc. · Communication Equipment
FCF$327mC
Rev+2.7%C
D/E1.47C
P/S2.3xA-
PEG0.26A
46.5Score
$77.60$10.7B
1Y Target$94.14Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$164.65Compound horizon
10Y Target$417.55Long-dated conviction
FCF$327mTTM
C
FCF $327m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+2.7%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.7% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E1.47
C
D/E 1.47 — more levered than most Technology peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S2.3x
A-
P/S 2.3x — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.26
A
PEG 0.26 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 46.5
Quality0.25
Growth0.58
Value0.69
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value119% aboveest. fair value ~$35
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~37% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability27% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC1.4% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Communication Equipment · market cap $10.7b. 17% off the 52-week high of $93.03. PEG 0.26 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $94.14 (implying +21% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -0.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.70 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE -1% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $94.14 (10-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $164.65 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $417.55 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-0.6 over 31 daily scores
From 47.1 (Jun 22) → 46.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,940
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$58.20
25% below $77.60
$ at risk if stopped
$485.00
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Viasat, Inc. (VSAT): score, valuation & FAQ

Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) is a Communication Equipment company that scores 46.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and P/S (A-). On valuation, VSAT sits about 119% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 37% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is VSAT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores VSAT 46.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Viasat, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does VSAT score 46.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). VSAT earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and P/S (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is VSAT overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $77.60, VSAT sits about 119% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 37% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in VSAT?

Currently unprofitable (margin -0.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.70 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE -1% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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