Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

VIPS analysis

Vipshop Holdings LimitedInternet Retail. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

VIPS
Vipshop Holdings Limited · Internet Retail
FCF
Rev-2.3%D+
D/E0.16A
P/E6.3xA
PEG0.75A-
53.4Score
$13.85$6.7B
1Y Target$18.29Analyst consensus · 20 analysts
5Y Target$23.08Compound horizon
10Y Target$29.61Long-dated conviction
FCF
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev-2.3%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -2.3% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.16
A
D/E 0.16 — least levered decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
P/E6.3x
A
P/E 6.3 — cheapest decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.75
A-
PEG 0.75 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 53.4
Quality0.83
Growth0.43
Value0.77
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
  • Foreign reporter (CNY)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
34% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability31% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC13.7% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Internet Retail · market cap $6.7b. Down 34% from 52-week high of $21.08 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.75 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 20 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $18.29 (implying +32% upside).
Moat
ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 34% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Logistics + fulfillment cost — gross margin is sensitive to fuel, labor, and packaging costs that re-price faster than retail pricing can adjust.
Horizon
1-3 yr $18.29 (20-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $23.08 at ~11% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $29.61 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
144
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$10.39
25% below $13.85
$ at risk if stopped
$498.60
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS): score, valuation & FAQ

Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS) is a Internet Retail company that scores 53.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker.

Is VIPS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores VIPS 53.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Vipshop Holdings Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does VIPS score 53.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). VIPS earns its highest marks on D/E (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is VIPS overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for VIPS — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in VIPS?

Down 34% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Logistics + fulfillment cost — gross margin is sensitive to fuel, labor, and packaging costs that re-price faster than retail pricing can adjust.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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