TPL vs the Top Picks average
| Pillar | TPL | Book avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 90 | 83 | +7 |
| Growth | 50 | 89 | -39 |
| Value | 17 | 76 | -59 |
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
TPL at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
| 30-day change | +0.0% |
|---|---|
| 90-day change | +0.0% |
| Forward EPS estimate | $73.12 |
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TPL to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL): score, valuation & FAQ
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) is an Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 42.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and Rev (B+), while FCF (C-) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, TPL sits about 1010% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is TPL a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores TPL 42.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Texas Pacific Land Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does TPL score 42.4 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 89.6 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 17.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. TPL earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and Rev (B+), and is held back by FCF (C-) and PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so TPL is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is TPL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $360.98, TPL sits about 1010% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing over 60% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 45.6x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in TPL?
Down 34% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 46x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 27.7x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.