FCF $1.7b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+5.1%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +5.1% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.59B
D/E 0.59 — near the Communication Services debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E66.5xC
P/E 66.5 — expensive vs Communication Services peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.30B
PEG 1.30 — acceptable premium for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 58.6
Quality0.57
Growth0.77
Value0.46
Why this score
Diluting shareholders
Cut its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value20% belowest. fair value ~$237
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC9.8% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Entertainment · market cap $35.9b. 17% off the 52-week high of $226.94. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $232.21 (implying +23% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Trailing P/E 66.5x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 4.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $232.21 (19-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $339.98 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $504.34 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
TKO vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
TKO
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.57
0.83
-0.26
Growth
0.77
0.92
-0.15
Value
0.46
0.75
-0.29
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · TKO
Trend
+12.7 over 37 daily scores
From 45.9 (Jun 22) → 58.6 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · TKO
$
%
%
Shares to buy
10
Position size
$1,894
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$142.06
25% below $189.42
$ at risk if stopped
$473.55
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO): score, valuation & FAQ
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) is a Entertainment company that scores 58.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
On valuation, TKO sits about 20% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is TKO a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores TKO 58.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does TKO score 58.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). TKO grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is TKO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $189.42, TKO sits about 20% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 66.5x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in TKO?
Trailing P/E 66.5x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 4.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.