Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SVM analysis

Silvercorp Metals Inc.Silver. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

SVM
Silvercorp Metals Inc. · Silver
FCF$159mC
Rev+46.6%A
D/E0.11A-
P/S4.8xC
PEG
61.3Score
$9.59$2.1B
1Y Target$12.95Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$22.64Compound horizon
10Y Target$57.42Long-dated conviction
FCF$159mTTM · 03/26
C
FCF $159m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+46.6%FY YoY
A
Revenue +46.6% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.11
A-
D/E 0.11 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/S4.8x
C
P/S 4.8x — expensive vs Basic Materials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 61.3
Quality0.53
Growth0.50
Value0.86
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
39% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value1% belowest. fair value ~$10
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~15% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Silver · market cap $2.1b. Down 39% from 52-week high of $15.77 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +47% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -2.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.97 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $12.95 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $22.64 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $57.42 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+0.8 over 15 daily scores
From 60.5 (Jun 22) → 61.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
208
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$7.19
25% below $9.59
$ at risk if stopped
$498.68
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM): score, valuation & FAQ

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) is a Silver company that scores 61.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A-). On valuation, SVM sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly 15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SVM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SVM 61.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Silvercorp Metals Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SVM score 61.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SVM earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SVM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $9.59, SVM sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly 15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SVM?

Currently unprofitable (margin -2.3%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 39% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.97 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Basic Materials stocks by score

All Basic Materials rankings →

Analyze another ticker →