Oil & Gas Integrated. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
SU
Suncor Energy Inc. · Oil & Gas Integrated
56.7Score
$72.23Oct 9 close$85.3B
1Y Target$69.76Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$88.07Compound horizon
10Y Target$112.95Long-dated conviction
FCF$7.2bTTM · 06/26B+
FCF $7.2b — strong cash profile, above most peers · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev-4.6%FY YoYD+
Revenue -4.6% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E0.30A-
D/E 0.30 — less debt than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E13.3xB
P/E 13.3 — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG11.40D
PEG 11.40 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 56.7
Quality78.8
Growth43.5
Value61.9
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Foreign reporter (CAD)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
0% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value35% belowest. fair value ~$111
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 10% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~-5% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
ROIC12.4% · B+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Oil & Gas Integrated · market cap $85.3b. Trading near 52-week high of $72.46 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 3 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $69.76 (implying -3% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 116% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash. $85.3b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trading within 0% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $69.76 (3-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $88.07 at ~4% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $112.95 if the moat survives secular pressure.
SU vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
SU
Book avg
Diff
Quality
79
83
-4
Growth
44
89
-45
Value
62
76
-14
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · SU
Trend
+15.3 over 80 daily scores
From 41.4 (Jun 22) → 56.7 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
SU at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+6.4%
90-day change
+12.9%
Forward EPS estimate
$6.14
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SU to earn is materially higher (+12.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · SU
$
%
%
Shares to buy
27
Position size
$1,950
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$54.17
25% below $72.23
$ at risk if stopped
$487.55
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU): score, valuation & FAQ
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is an Oil & Gas Integrated company that scores 56.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-) and FCF (B+), while Rev (D+) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, SU sits about 35% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 10% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.
Is SU a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores SU 56.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-) and FCF (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Suncor Energy Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does SU score 56.7 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 78.8 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 43.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. SU earns its highest marks on D/E (A-) and FCF (B+), and is held back by Rev (D+) and PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so SU is measured against Oil & Gas Integrated peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is SU overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $72.23, SU sits about 35% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 10% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 13.3x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in SU?
Trading within 0% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.