Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SSRM analysis

SSR Mining Inc.Gold. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

SSRM
SSR Mining Inc. · Gold
FCF$380mC
Rev+63.7%A
D/E0.02A-
P/E9.8xA-
PEG0.02A
69.1Score
$25.57$5.3B
1Y Target$41.40Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$52.27Compound horizon
10Y Target$67.03Long-dated conviction
FCF$380mTTM · 03/26
C
FCF $380m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+63.7%FY YoY
A
Revenue +63.7% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.02
A-
D/E 0.02 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E9.8x
A-
P/E 9.8 — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.02
A
PEG 0.02 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 69.1
Quality0.68
Growth0.50
Value0.97
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
30% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value36% belowest. fair value ~$40
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~17% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
SSR Mining’s explosive 63.7% revenue growth is being driven by its flagship Çöpler and Marigold gold‑doré operations, which are scaling output while the company maintains a rock‑solid $380 m free cash flow and an ultra‑low 0.02 debt‑to‑equity balance sheet. This combination of top‑line acceleration, cash generation and financial safety fuels a compounding earnings runway that can sustain the upside baked into the consensus target.
Moat
The company’s moat stems from its geographically diversified, high‑grade gold‑doré and copper assets across Turkey, the U.S., Canada and Argentina, which deliver low‑cost production and insulate SSRM from any single‑country risk. This asset base underpins a consistent 12.4% ROE, reflecting pricing power from operating in world‑class deposits that are difficult for rivals to replicate quickly.
Risk
The bull thesis hinges on continued revenue acceleration, but the Bull Rankings model flags a weak growth pillar and a reverse‑DCF implied -1% free‑cash‑flow growth over the next decade, suggesting the market may be over‑optimistic about sustaining the current surge. A slowdown in gold prices or operational hiccups at Çöpler could push earnings back toward the modest 9.8 × PE and erode the upside, confirming the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $41.40 (5-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $52.27 at ~15% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $67.03 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+1.5 over 22 daily scores
From 67.6 (Jun 22) → 69.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
78
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$19.18
25% below $25.57
$ at risk if stopped
$498.62
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM): score, valuation & FAQ

SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) is a Gold company that scores 69.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-). On valuation, SSRM sits about 36% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SSRM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SSRM 69.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of SSR Mining Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SSRM score 69.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SSRM earns its highest marks on Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SSRM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $25.57, SSRM sits about 36% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 9.8x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SSRM?

The bull thesis hinges on continued revenue acceleration, but the Bull Rankings model flags a weak growth pillar and a reverse‑DCF implied -1% free‑cash‑flow growth over the next decade, suggesting the market may be over‑optimistic about sustaining the current surge. A slowdown in gold prices or operational hiccups at Çöpler could push earnings back toward the modest 9.8 × PE and erode the upside, confirming the bear case.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

More Basic Materials stocks by score

All Basic Materials rankings →

Analyze another ticker →