Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SAIL analysis

SailPoint, Inc.Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

SAIL
SailPoint, Inc. · Software - Infrastructure
FCF$201mC
Rev+24.0%A-
D/E0.00A
P/S9.4xC
PEG
49.4Score
$18.64$10.6B
1Y Target$19.86Analyst consensus · 25 analysts
5Y Target$34.74Compound horizon
10Y Target$62.08Long-dated conviction
FCF$201mTTM
C
FCF $201m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+24.0%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +24.0% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.00
A
D/E 0.00 — least levered decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
P/S9.4x
C
P/S 9.4x — expensive vs Technology peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 49.4
Quality40.0
Growth91.4
Value33.0
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
22% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value130% aboveest. fair value ~$8
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~36% a year for the next decade — vs the ~24% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability10% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-2.3% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Software - Infrastructure · market cap $10.6b. Down 22% from 52-week high of $24.00 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +24%, comfortably above the S&P median. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $19.86 (implying +7% upside).
Moat
Software economics — recurring revenue, embedded customer workflows, and high gross margin all compound the moat once a base account is won. Switching costs are the lever.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -14.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. ROE -2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.
Horizon
1-3 yr $19.86 (25-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $34.74 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $62.08 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SAIL vs the Top Picks average

PillarSAILBook avgDiff
Quality0.400.84-0.44
Growth0.910.84+0.07
Value0.330.78-0.45

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-7.9 over 47 daily scores
From 57.3 (Jun 22) → 49.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+3.6%
Forward EPS estimate$0.40

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SAIL to earn is drifting higher (+3.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
107
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$13.98
25% below $18.64
$ at risk if stopped
$498.62
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL): score, valuation & FAQ

SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 49.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and Rev (A-). On valuation, SAIL sits about 130% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 36% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SAIL a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SAIL 49.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of SailPoint, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SAIL score 49.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SAIL earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and Rev (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SAIL overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $18.64, SAIL sits about 130% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 36% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SAIL?

Currently unprofitable (margin -14.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. ROE -2% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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