Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CHKP analysis

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

CHKP
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. · Software - Infrastructure
FCF$1.2bC+
Rev+6.3%C+
D/E0.70C+
P/E14.2xA-
PEG1.33B
76.8Score
$138.16$14.4B
1Y Target$147.56Analyst consensus · 32 analysts
5Y Target$186.29Compound horizon
10Y Target$238.92Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.2bTTM
C+
FCF $1.2b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+6.3%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +6.3% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.70
C+
D/E 0.70 — above the Technology debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E14.2x
A-
P/E 14.2 — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.33
B
PEG 1.33 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 76.8
Quality0.89
Growth0.69
Value0.74
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
40% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value28% belowest. fair value ~$192
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability30% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC22.8% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Software - Infrastructure · market cap $14.4b. Down 40% from 52-week high of $232.07 — deep drawdown territory. 32 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $147.56 (implying +7% upside).
Moat
Net margin 39% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 111% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 40% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.
Horizon
1-3 yr $147.56 (32-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $186.29 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $238.92 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,934
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$103.62
25% below $138.16
$ at risk if stopped
$483.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP): score, valuation & FAQ

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 76.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-). On valuation, CHKP sits about 28% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is CHKP a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CHKP 76.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CHKP score 76.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CHKP earns its highest marks on P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CHKP overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $138.16, CHKP sits about 28% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 14.2x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CHKP?

Down 40% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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