Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

QLYS analysis

Qualys, Inc.Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

QLYS
Qualys, Inc. · Software - Infrastructure
FCF$290mC
Rev+10.1%B
D/E0.09B+
P/E28.4xB
PEG6.21D
71.6Score
$158.63$5.6B
1Y Target$113.91Analyst consensus · 18 analysts
5Y Target$166.77Compound horizon
10Y Target$247.40Long-dated conviction
FCF$290mTTM
C
FCF $290m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+10.1%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +10.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.09
B+
D/E 0.09 — below the Technology debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E28.4x
B
P/E 28.4 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG6.21
D
PEG 6.21 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 71.6
Quality0.94
Growth0.84
Value0.46
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value22% belowest. fair value ~$202
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability52% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC32.0% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Software - Infrastructure · market cap $5.6b. 3% off the 52-week high of $164.17. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $113.91 (implying -28% upside).
Moat
Net margin 29% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 35% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 144% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.
Horizon
1-3 yr $113.91 (18-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $166.77 at ~1% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $247.40 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-4.2 over 14 daily scores
From 75.8 (Jun 22) → 71.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,904
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$118.97
25% below $158.63
$ at risk if stopped
$475.89
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Qualys, Inc. (QLYS): score, valuation & FAQ

Qualys, Inc. (QLYS) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 71.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, QLYS sits about 22% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is QLYS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores QLYS 71.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Qualys, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does QLYS score 71.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). QLYS earns its highest marks on D/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is QLYS overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $158.63, QLYS sits about 22% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 28.4x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in QLYS?

Software — competitive moat is durable until it isn't; watch net revenue retention, gross margin trends, and any new market entrant with a fundamentally lower price point.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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