Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

RTX analysis

RTX CorporationAerospace & Defense. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Defense & Drones
RTX
RTX Corporation · Aerospace & Defense
FCF$11.4bA-
Rev+11.8%B
D/E0.57B
P/E38.4xC+
PEG2.70C
47.5Score
$218.20$294.1B
1Y Target$229.82Analyst consensus · 22 analysts
5Y Target$336.48Compound horizon
10Y Target$499.14Long-dated conviction
FCF$11.4bTTM
A-
FCF $11.4b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector
Rev+11.8%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +11.8% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.57
B
D/E 0.57 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E38.4x
C+
P/E 38.4 — above the Industrials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.70
C
PEG 2.70 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 47.5
Quality0.61
Growth0.85
Value0.21
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
1% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value54% aboveest. fair value ~$142
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~17% a year for the next decade — vs the ~9% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC7.7% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Aerospace & Defense · market cap $294.1b. Trading near 52-week high of $221.34 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 22 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $229.82 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 147% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $294.1b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Trailing P/E 38x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $229.82 (22-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $336.48 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $499.14 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

RTX vs the Top Picks average

PillarRTXBook avgDiff
Quality0.610.83-0.22
Growth0.850.91-0.06
Value0.210.75-0.54

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-3.5 over 34 daily scores
From 51.0 (Jun 22) → 47.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,964
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$163.65
25% below $218.20
$ at risk if stopped
$490.96
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

RTX Corporation (RTX): score, valuation & FAQ

RTX Corporation (RTX) is a Aerospace & Defense company that scores 47.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A-). On valuation, RTX sits about 54% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is RTX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores RTX 47.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by FCF (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of RTX Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does RTX score 47.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). RTX earns its highest marks on FCF (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is RTX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $218.20, RTX sits about 54% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 38.4x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in RTX?

Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Trailing P/E 38x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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