Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ROKU analysis

Roku, Inc.Entertainment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Streaming & Entertainment
ROKU
Roku, Inc. · Entertainment
FCF$710mC+
Rev+18.5%B+
D/E0.19A-
P/E64.3xC
PEG1.04B+
57.3Score
$151.84$22.5B
1Y Target$158.41Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$231.92Compound horizon
10Y Target$344.04Long-dated conviction
FCF$710mTTM
C+
FCF $710m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+18.5%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +18.5% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.19
A-
D/E 0.19 — less debt than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E64.3x
C
P/E 64.3 — expensive vs Communication Services peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.04
B+
PEG 1.04 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.3
Quality0.56
Growth0.98
Value0.35
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
1% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value136% aboveest. fair value ~$64
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~40% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability52% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC7.6% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Entertainment · market cap $22.5b. Trading near 52-week high of $153.54 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $158.41 (implying +4% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 200% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 64.3x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Beta 2.04 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $158.41 (21-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $231.92 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $344.04 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ROKU vs the Top Picks average

PillarROKUBook avgDiff
Quality0.560.83-0.28
Growth0.980.92+0.06
Value0.350.75-0.40

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.2 over 37 daily scores
From 57.5 (Jun 22) → 57.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
13
Position size
$1,974
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$113.88
25% below $151.84
$ at risk if stopped
$493.48
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Roku, Inc. (ROKU): score, valuation & FAQ

Roku, Inc. (ROKU) is a Entertainment company that scores 57.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, ROKU sits about 136% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 40% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ROKU a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ROKU 57.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Roku, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ROKU score 57.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ROKU earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ROKU overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $151.84, ROKU sits about 136% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 40% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 64.3x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ROKU?

Trailing P/E 64.3x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Beta 2.04 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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