Rockwell Automation, Inc. · Specialty Industrial Machinery
FCF$1.4bC+
Rev+10.5%B
D/E1.13C+
P/E46.4xC
PEG2.09C
51.5Score
$446.60$49.7B
1Y Target$474.58Analyst consensus · 24 analysts
5Y Target$694.84Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,031Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.4bTTMC+
FCF $1.4b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+10.5%TTM YoYB
Revenue +10.5% — at or above S&P median
D/E1.13C+
D/E 1.13 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E46.4xC
P/E 46.4 — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG2.09C
PEG 2.09 — expensive relative to growth rate
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 51.5
Quality0.79
Growth0.77
Value0.23
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value186% aboveest. fair value ~$156
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~37% a year for the next decade — vs the ~12% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability41% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.7% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Specialty Industrial Machinery · market cap $49.7b. 10% off the 52-week high of $497.36. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. 24 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $474.58 (implying +6% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 126% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Beta 1.53 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 46x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $474.58 (24-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $694.84 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,031 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
ROK vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
ROK
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.79
0.83
-0.04
Growth
0.77
0.91
-0.14
Value
0.23
0.75
-0.52
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · ROK
Trend
+4.6 over 34 daily scores
From 46.9 (Jun 22) → 51.5 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · ROK
$
%
%
Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,786
3.6% of portfolio
Stop price
$334.95
25% below $446.60
$ at risk if stopped
$446.60
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK): score, valuation & FAQ
Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) is a Specialty Industrial Machinery company that scores 51.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
On valuation, ROK sits about 186% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 37% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is ROK a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ROK 51.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Rockwell Automation, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ROK score 51.5 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ROK grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is ROK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $446.60, ROK sits about 186% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 37% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 46.4x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ROK?
Beta 1.53 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 46x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.