Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

RIVN analysis

Rivian Automotive, Inc.Auto Manufacturers. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Electric Vehicles & Battery
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. · Auto Manufacturers
FCF-$3.5bF
Rev+14.2%B+
D/E1.04B
P/S3.9xC
PEG
13.3Score
$15.76$22.8B
1Y Target$19.15Analyst consensus · 26 analysts
5Y Target$33.50Compound horizon
10Y Target$59.87Long-dated conviction
FCF-$3.5bTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$3.5b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+14.2%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +14.2% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E1.04
B
D/E 1.04 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S3.9x
C
P/S 3.9x — expensive vs Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 13.3
Quality0.09
Growth0.50
Value0.00
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
31% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability3% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-29.2% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Auto Manufacturers · market cap $22.8b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $22.69 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $19.15 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$3.5b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -55.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $19.15 (26-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $33.50 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $59.87 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

RIVN vs the Top Picks average

PillarRIVNBook avgDiff
Quality0.090.83-0.73
Growth0.500.91-0.41
Value0.000.75-0.75

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.9 over 34 daily scores
From 14.2 (Jun 22) → 13.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
126
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$11.82
25% below $15.76
$ at risk if stopped
$496.28
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN): score, valuation & FAQ

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) is a Auto Manufacturers company that scores 13.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is RIVN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores RIVN 13.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does RIVN score 13.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). RIVN earns its highest marks on Rev (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is RIVN overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for RIVN — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in RIVN?

Free cash flow is negative (-$3.5b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -55.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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