1Y Target$831.96Near-term target
5Y Target$1,165Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,713Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.7bTTM · 03/26C+FCF $1.7b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+21.1%TTM YoYA-Revenue +21.1% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.67totalBD/E 0.67 — at market average, manageable · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E98.3xDP/E 98.3 — extreme multiple; extraordinary growth required
PEG4.66proxyDPEG 4.66 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Construction · market cap $108.6b. 8% off the 52-week high of $788.75. Revenue growing +21%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. $108.6b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trailing P/E 98.3x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Net margin 3.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $831.96 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $1,165 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,713 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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