Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PR analysis

Permian Resources CorporationOil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

PR
Permian Resources Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$1.1bC+
Rev+12.8%B+
D/E0.26A-
P/E15.3xB
PEG1.36B
57.8Score
$23.75$19.9B
1Y Target$25.79Analyst consensus · 19 analysts
5Y Target$37.76Compound horizon
10Y Target$56.01Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.1bTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $1.1b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+12.8%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +12.8% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.26
A-
D/E 0.26 — less debt than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E15.3x
B
P/E 15.3 — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.36
B
PEG 1.36 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.8
Quality60.5
Growth50.0
Value63.7
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cut its dividend
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
1% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value34% aboveest. fair value ~$18
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~9% a year for the next decade — vs the ~0% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC10.6% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $19.9b. Trading near 52-week high of $24.09 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $25.79 (implying +9% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. ROE 3% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $25.79 (19-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $37.76 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $56.01 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PR vs the Top Picks average

PillarPRBook avgDiff
Quality0.610.84-0.23
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.640.78-0.15

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+4.2 over 47 daily scores
From 53.6 (Jun 22) → 57.8 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+5.2%
90-day change+2.7%
Forward EPS estimate$2.18

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PR to earn is drifting higher (+2.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
84
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$17.81
25% below $23.75
$ at risk if stopped
$498.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Permian Resources Corporation (PR): score, valuation & FAQ

Permian Resources Corporation (PR) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 57.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). On valuation, PR sits about 34% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PR 57.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Permian Resources Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PR score 57.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PR earns its highest marks on D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $23.75, PR sits about 34% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 15.3x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PR?

Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. ROE 3% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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