Bull Rankings model

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. (PAC) stock analysis

Airports & Air Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
PAC
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. · Airports & Air Services
58.0Score
$201.50Oct 9 close$12.0B
1Y Target$254.49Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$372.59Compound horizon
10Y Target$552.72Long-dated conviction
FCF$252mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $252m — modest; watch for margin expansion · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+23.2%FY YoY
A-
Revenue +23.2% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E1.18
C
D/E 1.18 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E17.9x
A-
P/E 17.9 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.07
B+
PEG 1.07 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 58
Quality77.3
Growth50.0
Value69.1
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
  • Foreign reporter (MXN)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
33% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value147% aboveest. fair value ~$81
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 34% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~16% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Airports & Air Services · market cap $12.0b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $300.41 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +23%, comfortably above the S&P median. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $254.49 (implying +26% upside).
Moat
Net margin 31% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $254.49 (7-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $372.59 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $552.72 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

PAC vs the Top Picks average

PillarPACBook avgDiff
Quality7783-6
Growth5089-39
Value6976-7

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-1.3 over 82 daily scores
From 59.3 (Jun 22) → 58.0 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

PAC at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD58.0/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY77.3GROWTH50.0VALUE69.1Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~34% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$70$101FAIR-VALUE RANGE$202PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$81.4 · price $202 is 147% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$202LOW $193HIGH $300Trading near its 52-week low ($193–$300).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-13%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$12.67

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PAC to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,814
3.6% of portfolio
Stop price
$151.13
25% below $201.50
$ at risk if stopped
$453.38
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. (PAC): score, valuation & FAQ

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. (PAC) is an Airports & Air Services company that scores 58 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, PAC sits about 147% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 34% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is PAC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PAC 58 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-), P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PAC score 58 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 77.3 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. PAC earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so PAC is measured against Airports & Air Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is PAC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $201.50, PAC sits about 147% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 34% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 17.9x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PAC?

Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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