Revenue +28.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.11A-
D/E 0.11 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E16.3xB+
P/E 16.3 — below the Basic Materials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG7.02D
PEG 7.02 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 56
Quality0.71
Growth0.50
Value0.49
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Diluting shareholders
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
26% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value44% aboveest. fair value ~$36
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~23% a year for the next decade — vs the ~21% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability14% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC12.6% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Gold · market cap $21.8b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $69.99 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +28% — in hypergrowth territory. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $65.25 (implying +26% upside).
Moat
Net margin 27% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 104% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Beta 1.55 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $65.25 (8-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $95.53 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $141.72 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
PAAS vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
PAAS
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.71
0.83
-0.12
Growth
0.50
0.92
-0.42
Value
0.49
0.75
-0.25
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · PAAS
Trend
+30.0 over 37 daily scores
From 26.0 (Jun 22) → 56.0 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · PAAS
$
%
%
Shares to buy
38
Position size
$1,968
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$38.85
25% below $51.80
$ at risk if stopped
$492.10
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS): score, valuation & FAQ
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) is a Gold company that scores 56 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PAAS sits about 44% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 23% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is PAAS a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores PAAS 56 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Pan American Silver Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does PAAS score 56 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PAAS earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $51.80, PAAS sits about 44% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 23% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.3x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in PAAS?
Beta 1.55 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.