Occidental Petroleum Corporation — Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$4.8bB
Rev+4.0%C+
D/E0.35B+
P/E17.4xB
PEG1.07B+
59.1Score
$58.55$58.5B
1Y Target$66.09Analyst consensus · 23 analysts
5Y Target$96.76Compound horizon
10Y Target$143.53Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.8bTTMB
FCF $4.8b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+4.0%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +4.0% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.35B+
D/E 0.35 — below the Energy debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E17.4xB
P/E 17.4 — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.07B+
PEG 1.07 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 59.1
Quality83.3
Growth50.0
Value49.6
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Cyclical growth
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value0% aboveest. fair value ~$58
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability22% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $58.5b. 13% off the 52-week high of $67.45. 23 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $66.09 (implying +13% upside).
Moat
Net margin 35% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. $58.5b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $66.09 (23-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $96.76 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $143.53 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
OXY vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
OXY
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.83
0.84
in line
Growth
0.50
0.92
-0.42
Value
0.50
0.75
-0.25
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.9). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · OXY
Trend
+16.1 over 40 daily scores
From 43.0 (Jun 22) → 59.1 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · OXY
$
%
%
Shares to buy
34
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$43.91
25% below $58.55
$ at risk if stopped
$497.67
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 59.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, OXY sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is OXY a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores OXY 59.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Occidental Petroleum Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does OXY score 59.1 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). OXY earns its highest marks on D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is OXY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $58.55, OXY sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies roughly -1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 17.4x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in OXY?
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.