Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
61.7Score
$60.11Oct 9 close$60.1B
1Y Target$68.36Analyst consensus · 25 analysts
5Y Target$100.09Compound horizon
10Y Target$148.47Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.8bTTM · 06/26B
FCF $4.8b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+7.3%TTM YoYB
Revenue +7.3% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.35B+
D/E 0.35 — below the Energy debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E17.1xB
P/E 17.1 — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.21B
PEG 1.21 — acceptable premium for growth
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 61.7
Quality74.1
Growth50.0
Value63.4
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
11% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value16% belowest. fair value ~$71
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 0% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~4% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability23% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC9.0% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $60.1b. 11% off the 52-week high of $67.45. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $68.36 (implying +14% upside).
Moat
Net margin 34% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 18% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. $60.1b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $68.36 (25-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $100.09 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $148.47 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
OXY vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
OXY
Book avg
Diff
Quality
74
83
-9
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
63
76
-13
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · OXY
Trend
+18.7 over 82 daily scores
From 43.0 (Jun 22) → 61.7 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
OXY at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+5.7%
90-day change
+7.1%
Forward EPS estimate
$4.09
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect OXY to earn is materially higher (+7.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · OXY
$
%
%
Shares to buy
33
Position size
$1,984
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$45.08
25% below $60.11
$ at risk if stopped
$495.91
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is an Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 61.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+). On valuation, OXY sits about 16% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 0% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten.
Is OXY a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores OXY 61.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Occidental Petroleum Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does OXY score 61.7 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 74.1 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. OXY earns its highest marks on D/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so OXY is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is OXY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $60.11, OXY sits about 16% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 0% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 17.1x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in OXY?
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.