Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

OTTR analysis

Otter Tail CorporationConglomerates. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

OTTR
Otter Tail Corporation · Conglomerates
FCF$2mC-
Rev-0.5%D+
D/E0.63B
P/E14.1xA
PEG1.86C+
41.7Score
$93.75$3.9B
1Y Target$101.25Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$127.83Compound horizon
10Y Target$163.93Long-dated conviction
FCF$2mTTM
C-
FCF $2m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev-0.5%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -0.5% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.63
B
D/E 0.63 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E14.1x
A
P/E 14.1 — cheapest decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
PEG1.86
C+
PEG 1.86 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 41.7
Quality0.66
Growth0.22
Value0.50
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
1% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value17923% aboveest. fair value ~$1
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC9.1% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Conglomerates · market cap $3.9b. Trading near 52-week high of $95.00 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety.
Moat
Net margin 21% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $101.25 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $127.83 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $163.93 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

OTTR vs the Top Picks average

PillarOTTRBook avgDiff
Quality0.660.83-0.17
Growth0.220.91-0.69
Value0.500.75-0.25

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+0.3 over 34 daily scores
From 41.4 (Jun 22) → 41.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
21
Position size
$1,969
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$70.31
25% below $93.75
$ at risk if stopped
$492.19
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR): score, valuation & FAQ

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) is a Conglomerates company that scores 41.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), while FCF (C-) and Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, OTTR sits about 17923% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.

Is OTTR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores OTTR 41.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Otter Tail Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does OTTR score 41.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). OTTR earns its highest marks on P/E (A), and is held back by FCF (C-) and Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is OTTR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $93.75, OTTR sits about 17923% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 14.1x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in OTTR?

Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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