Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

OLN analysis

Olin CorpChemicals. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

OLN
Olin Corp · Chemicals
FCF$303mC
Rev+2.6%C
D/E1.54C
P/S0.3xA
PEG
50.2Score
$18.40$2.1B
1Y Target$24.84Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$43.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$77.65Long-dated conviction
FCF$303mTTM · 03/26
C
FCF $303m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+2.6%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.6% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.54total
C
D/E 1.54 — elevated leverage, limits flexibility · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S0.3x
A
P/S 0.3x — deep value on sales
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 50.2
Quality37.1
Growth35.2
Value96.5
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
40% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value43% belowest. fair value ~$33
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-11% a year for the next decade — vs the ~3% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Chemicals · market cap $2.1b. Down 40% from 52-week high of $30.46 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -2.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 40% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 126% of earnings on a 4.2% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $24.84 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $43.45 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $77.65 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

OLN vs the Top Picks average

PillarOLNBook avgDiff
Quality0.370.84-0.47
Growth0.350.84-0.49
Value0.970.78+0.18

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+15.5 over 45 daily scores
From 34.7 (Jun 22) → 50.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-17.0%
90-day change-15.2%
Forward EPS estimate$0.79

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect OLN to earn is materially lower (-15.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
108
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$13.80
25% below $18.40
$ at risk if stopped
$496.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Olin Corp (OLN): score, valuation & FAQ

Olin Corp (OLN) is a Chemicals company that scores 50.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A). On valuation, OLN sits about 43% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is OLN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores OLN 50.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Olin Corp's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does OLN score 50.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). OLN earns its highest marks on P/S (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is OLN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $18.40, OLN sits about 43% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in OLN?

Currently unprofitable (margin -2.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 40% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 126% of earnings on a 4.2% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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