Chemicals. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
OLN
Olin Corporation · Chemicals
23.8Score
$14.89Oct 9 close$1.7B
1Y Target$20.20Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$35.33Compound horizon
10Y Target$63.14Long-dated conviction
FCF$81mTTM · 06/26C-
FCF $81m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+0.6%TTM YoYC
Revenue +0.6% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.99D
D/E 1.99 — most levered decile in Basic Materials (≈95th pctile)
P/S*0.3xA
P/S 0.3x — cheapest decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
PEG7.05D
PEG 7.05 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 23.8
Quality34.9
Growth19.2
Value20.1
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
51% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value74% aboveest. fair value ~$9
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~2% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability6% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC-1.7% · Freturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Chemicals · market cap $1.7b. Down 51% from 52-week high of $30.46 — deep drawdown territory. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $20.20 (implying +36% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -2.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 174% of earnings on a 5.1% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $20.20 (15-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $35.33 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $63.14 — return distribution heavily skewed.
OLN vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
OLN
Book avg
Diff
Quality
35
83
-48
Growth
19
89
-70
Value
20
76
-56
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · OLN
Trend
-10.9 over 80 daily scores
From 34.7 (Jun 22) → 23.8 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
OLN at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-24.2%
90-day change
-37.3%
Forward EPS estimate
$0.60
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect OLN to earn is materially lower (-37.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · OLN
$
%
%
Shares to buy
134
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$11.17
25% below $14.89
$ at risk if stopped
$498.81
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Olin Corporation (OLN): score, valuation & FAQ
Olin Corporation (OLN) is a Chemicals company that scores 23.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A), while D/E (D) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, OLN sits about 74% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is OLN a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores OLN 23.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by P/S (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Olin Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does OLN score 23.8 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 34.9 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 19.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. OLN earns its highest marks on P/S (A), and is held back by D/E (D) and PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so OLN is measured against Chemicals peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is OLN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $14.89, OLN sits about 74% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 17% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in OLN?
Currently unprofitable (margin -2.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 51% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 174% of earnings on a 5.1% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.