FCF $2.7b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+2.4%TTM YoYC
Revenue +2.4% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.93C+
D/E 0.93 — above the Technology debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E46.4xC+
P/E 46.4 — above the Technology median (≈75th pctile)
PEG0.54A-
PEG 0.54 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 58.8
Quality0.76
Growth0.42
Value0.64
Why this score
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
31% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value70% aboveest. fair value ~$137
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~27% a year for the next decade — vs the ~20% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability26% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC13.4% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Semiconductors · market cap $58.9b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $339.95 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.54 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 29 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $311.10 (implying +33% upside).
Moat
Net margin 21% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 102% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.82 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 46x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $311.10 (29-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $455.49 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $675.68 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
NXPI vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
NXPI
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.76
0.83
-0.07
Growth
0.42
0.92
-0.50
Value
0.64
0.75
-0.11
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · NXPI
Trend
-1.0 over 37 daily scores
From 59.8 (Jun 22) → 58.8 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · NXPI
$
%
%
Shares to buy
8
Position size
$1,867
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$175.07
25% below $233.43
$ at risk if stopped
$466.86
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is a Semiconductors company that scores 58.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-). On valuation, NXPI sits about 70% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 27% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is NXPI a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores NXPI 58.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does NXPI score 58.8 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). NXPI earns its highest marks on PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is NXPI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $233.43, NXPI sits about 70% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 27% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 46.4x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in NXPI?
Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.82 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 46x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.