NVIDIA Corporation — Semiconductors. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation · Semiconductors
FCF$119.1bA
Rev+65.5%A
D/E0.07A-
P/E31.1xB
PEG0.60A-
85.6Score
$202.78$4.9T
1Y Target$301.62Analyst consensus · 58 analysts
5Y Target$441.60Compound horizon
10Y Target$655.09Long-dated conviction
FCF$119.1bTTMA
FCF $119.1b — top-tier cash generation, rarefied air
Rev+65.5%TTM YoYA
Revenue +65.5% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.07A-
D/E 0.07 — less debt than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E31.1xB
P/E 31.1 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.60A-
PEG 0.60 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 85.6
Quality0.86
Growth1.00
Value0.73
Why this score
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
14% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value206% aboveest. fair value ~$66
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability72% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC62.9% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
NVIDIA is the undisputed leader in data center scale AI infrastructure, perfectly positioned to compound capital at an exceptional rate as the AI secular trend accelerates. With a staggering 65.5% FY YoY revenue growth and a 63% profit margin, the company is converting its market dominance into immense free cash flow of $119.1B (TTM). The low 0.6 PEG ratio, despite a 31.1 P/E, suggests the market is still underpricing the persistence of its AI-driven earnings growth.
Moat
NVIDIA's durable edge stems from its integrated Compute & Networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions, which create a high-switching-cost ecosystem for data center and automotive customers. Its GeForce and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for gaming and enterprise workstation graphics further solidify its hardware and software advantage. The exceptional 81.7% Return on Equity is a direct result of its technological leadership and pricing power in these mission-critical, high-performance computing segments, making it incredibly difficult for competitors to replicate its full-stack offering.
Risk
The primary risk to NVIDIA is its elevated valuation, with a 31.1 P/E and 19.4 P/S ratio, leaving little room for error if the hyper-growth in the Compute & Networking segment decelerates. While debt-to-equity is low at 0.07, the high 2.21 beta signals significant volatility, making it susceptible to broader market corrections or shifts in investor sentiment regarding AI's long-term trajectory. A sustained period of revenue growth below 30% or a significant compression in profit margins would confirm the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $301.62 (58-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $441.60 at ~17% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $655.09 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · NVDA
Trend
-0.4 over 14 daily scores
From 86.0 (Jun 22) → 85.6 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · NVDA
$
%
%
Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,825
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$152.09
25% below $202.78
$ at risk if stopped
$456.25
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): score, valuation & FAQ
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a Semiconductors company that scores 85.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a strong reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A), Rev (A) and D/E (A-). On valuation, NVDA sits about 206% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is NVDA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores NVDA 85.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a strong reading. That is driven by FCF (A), Rev (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of NVIDIA Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does NVDA score 85.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). NVDA earns its highest marks on FCF (A), Rev (A) and D/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is NVDA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $202.78, NVDA sits about 206% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 31.1x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in NVDA?
The primary risk to NVIDIA is its elevated valuation, with a 31.1 P/E and 19.4 P/S ratio, leaving little room for error if the hyper-growth in the Compute & Networking segment decelerates. While debt-to-equity is low at 0.07, the high 2.21 beta signals significant volatility, making it susceptible to broader market corrections or shifts in investor sentiment regarding AI's long-term trajectory. A sustained period of revenue growth below 30% or a significant compression in profit margins would confirm the bear case.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.