Bull Rankings model

News Corporation (NWSA) stock analysis

Entertainment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
NWSA
News Corporation · Entertainment
51.8Score
$29.12Oct 9 close$15.7B
1Y Target$36.16Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$52.95Compound horizon
10Y Target$78.54Long-dated conviction
FCF$811mTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $811m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+6.8%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +6.8% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.32
A-
D/E 0.32 — less debt than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E28.3x
C+
P/E 28.3 — above the Communication Services median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.60
C
PEG 2.60 — expensive relative to growth rate

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 51.8
Quality63.7
Growth56.5
Value38.8
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
8% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value20% aboveest. fair value ~$24
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 10% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~7% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Entertainment · market cap $15.7b. 8% off the 52-week high of $31.66. 8 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $36.16 (implying +24% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 142% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $36.16 (8-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $52.95 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $78.54 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

NWSA vs the Top Picks average

PillarNWSABook avgDiff
Quality6483-19
Growth5689-33
Value3976-37

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+1.0 over 82 daily scores
From 50.8 (Jun 22) → 51.8 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

NWSA at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD51.8/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY63.7GROWTH56.5VALUE38.8Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~10% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$23.4$25.8FAIR-VALUE RANGE$29.1PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$24.4 · price $29.1 is 20% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$29.1LOW $22.2HIGH $31.7Trading at the 73rd percentile of its 52-week range ($22.2–$31.7).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+12%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.8%
Forward EPS estimate$1.51

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect NWSA to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
68
Position size
$1,980
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$21.84
25% below $29.12
$ at risk if stopped
$495.04
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

News Corporation (NWSA): score, valuation & FAQ

News Corporation (NWSA) is an Entertainment company that scores 51.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-). On valuation, NWSA sits about 20% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 10% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is NWSA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores NWSA 51.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of News Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does NWSA score 51.8 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 63.7 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 38.8 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. NWSA earns its highest marks on D/E (A-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so NWSA is measured against Entertainment peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is NWSA overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $29.12, NWSA sits about 20% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 10% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 28.3x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in NWSA?

ROE 7% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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